Welterweight
5 Rounds
Sean Brady won · SUB R4
UFC Event·Saturday, March 22, 2025·London, England, United Kingdom, United Kingdom
Style matchupLeon Edwards: Well-roundedvsSean Brady: Wrestler
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Sean Brady wins(53.7%)
Actual result: Sean Brady wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Sean Brady has 23pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Leon Edwards (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Leon Edwards
Red Corner
VS
Sean Brady
Blue Corner
+120
(45%)
Vegas Odds
-132
(57%)
34
Age
33
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'2"
Height
5'10"
187.96 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Leon EdwardsL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Kamaru Usman · Aug 22W
vs Kamaru Usman · Mar 23W
vs Colby Covington · Dec 23L
vs Belal Muhammad · Jul 24L
KOvs Carlos Prates · Nov 25Sean Brady
oldest →latest
W
vs Michael Chiesa · Nov 21L
KOvs Belal Muhammad · Oct 22W
SUBvs Kelvin Gastelum · Dec 23W
vs Gilbert Burns · Sep 24L
KOvs Michael Morales · Nov 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Leon EdwardsMetricSean Brady
2.60
Strikes / min
4.08
2.44
Strikes absorbed / min
2.77
52%
Strike defense
59%
1.25
TDs / 15 min
3.58
63%
Takedown defense
86%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.16Δ 1.15 — meaningful gap+1.31
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Leon EdwardsSean Brady
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Leon Edwards(10 fights)Sean Brady(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+84.3-84.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+42.0-42.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.80.8
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.7-0.7
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
Leon Edwards
StanceSouthpaw
Height74.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights19
Sean Brady
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights10