Featherweight
3 Rounds
Matt Grice won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Friday, June 8, 2012·Sunrise, Florida, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Leonard Garcia wins(55.0%)
Actual result: Matt Grice wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Leonard Garcia enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Matt Grice has 40pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Leonard Garcia
Red Corner
VS
Matt Grice
Blue Corner
-125
(56%)
Vegas Odds
+115
(47%)
46
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'8"
172.72 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Leonard GarciaL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Nam Phan · Dec 10L
SUBvs Chan Sung Jung · Mar 11L
vs Nam Phan · Oct 11L
vs Max Holloway · Dec 12L
vs Cody McKenzie · Apr 13Matt GriceL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Ricardo Lamas · Jun 11L
vs Dennis Bermudez · Feb 13Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Leonard GarciaMetricMatt Grice
2.77
Strikes / min
4.09
4.79
Strikes absorbed / min
2.69
52%
Strike defense
56%
0.30
TDs / 15 min
2.19
42%
Takedown defense
82%
0.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-2.02Δ 3.42 — meaningful gap+1.40
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Leonard GarciaMatt Grice
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Leonard Garcia(6 fights)Matt Grice(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-2.22.2
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-104.0104.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Leonard Garcia
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights6
Matt Grice
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights3