Lightweight
3 Rounds
Leonardo Santos won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, October 8, 2016·Manchester, England, United Kingdom, United Kingdom
Model Prediction: Leonardo Santos wins(73.4%)
Actual result: Leonardo Santos wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Leonardo Santos enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Adriano Martins has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Adriano Martins (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Leonardo Santos
Red Corner
VS
Adriano Martins
Blue Corner
+175
(36%)
Vegas Odds
-210
(68%)
46
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'0"
Height
5'10"
190.5 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Leonardo SantosL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Stevie Ray · Jun 19W
vs Roman Bogatov · Jul 20L
KOvs Grant Dawson · Mar 21L
SUBvs Clay Guida · Dec 21L
vs Jared Gordon · Aug 22Adriano Martins
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Donald Cerrone · Jan 14W
vs Juan Puig · Jul 14W
vs Rustam Khabilov · Feb 15W
KOvs Islam Makhachev · Oct 15L
KOvs Kajan Johnson · Sep 17Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Leonardo SantosMetricAdriano Martins
2.82
Strikes / min
1.80
3.40
Strikes absorbed / min
2.14
54%
Strike defense
65%
0.88
TDs / 15 min
0.83
86%
Takedown defense
81%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.58evenly matched on net striking-0.34
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Leonardo SantosAdriano Martins
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Leonardo Santos(10 fights)Adriano Martins(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+9.2-9.2
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-70.070.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Leonardo Santos
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights10
Adriano Martins
StanceSouthpaw
Height70.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights7