Lightweight
3 Rounds
Leonardo Santos won · SUB R2
UFC Event·Saturday, March 21, 2015·Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, Brazil
Style matchupLeonardo Santos: Well-roundedvsAnthony Rocco Martin: Well-rounded
Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.
Model Prediction: Leonardo Santos wins(61.8%)
Actual result: Leonardo Santos wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Leonardo Santos enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Leonardo Santos has 18pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Leonardo Santos
Red Corner
VS
Anthony Rocco Martin
Blue Corner
+140
(42%)
Vegas Odds
-160
(62%)
46
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
6'0"
190.5 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Leonardo SantosL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Stevie Ray · Jun 19W
vs Roman Bogatov · Jul 20L
KOvs Grant Dawson · Mar 21L
SUBvs Clay Guida · Dec 21L
vs Jared Gordon · Aug 22Anthony Rocco Martin
oldest →latest
W
vs Keita Nakamura · Apr 18W
KOvs Ryan LaFlare · Oct 18W
SUBvs Jake Matthews · Dec 18W
vs Sergio Moraes · Mar 19L
vs Neil Magny · Jun 20Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Leonardo SantosMetricAnthony Rocco Martin
2.82
Strikes / min
2.68
3.40
Strikes absorbed / min
2.59
54%
Strike defense
58%
0.88
TDs / 15 min
0.71
86%
Takedown defense
68%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
1.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.58evenly matched on net striking+0.09
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Leonardo SantosAnthony Rocco Martin
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Leonardo Santos(10 fights)Anthony Rocco Martin(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+51.5-51.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+42.0-42.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.1-1.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Leonardo Santos
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights10
Anthony Rocco Martin
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights13