Lightweight
3 Rounds
Leonardo Santos won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, September 13, 2014·Brasilia, Distrito Federal, Brazil, Brazil
Style matchupLeonardo Santos: Well-roundedvsEfrain Escudero: Well-rounded
Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.
Model Prediction: Leonardo Santos wins(58.3%)
Actual result: Leonardo Santos wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Leonardo Santos enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Leonardo Santos has 20pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Leonardo Santos has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Leonardo Santos
Red Corner
VS
Efrain Escudero
Blue Corner
-210
(68%)
Vegas Odds
+190
(34%)
46
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
5'9"
190.5 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Leonardo SantosL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Stevie Ray · Jun 19W
vs Roman Bogatov · Jul 20L
KOvs Grant Dawson · Mar 21L
SUBvs Clay Guida · Dec 21L
vs Jared Gordon · Aug 22Efrain EscuderoL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Mac Danzig · Apr 12W
vs Rodrigo de Lima · Feb 15W
SUBvs Drew Dober · Jun 15L
vs Leandro Silva · Nov 15L
vs Kevin Lee · Apr 16Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Leonardo SantosMetricEfrain Escudero
2.82
Strikes / min
2.92
3.40
Strikes absorbed / min
2.30
54%
Strike defense
63%
0.88
TDs / 15 min
1.31
86%
Takedown defense
66%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.58Δ 1.20 — meaningful gap+0.62
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Leonardo SantosEfrain Escudero
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Leonardo Santos(10 fights)Efrain Escudero(9 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+51.9-51.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-413.0413.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.8-1.8
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-1.71.7
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
Leonardo Santos
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights10
Efrain Escudero
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights9