Lightweight
3 Rounds
Leonardo Santos won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, July 11, 2020·Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates, United Arab Emirates
Model Prediction: Leonardo Santos wins(70.3%)
Actual result: Leonardo Santos wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Leonardo Santos enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Leonardo Santos has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Leonardo Santos has 36pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Leonardo Santos
Red Corner
VS
Roman Bogatov
Blue Corner
-177
(64%)
Vegas Odds
+145
(41%)
46
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
5'8"
190.5 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Leonardo SantosL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Adriano Martins · Oct 16W
KOvs Stevie Ray · Jun 19L
KOvs Grant Dawson · Mar 21L
SUBvs Clay Guida · Dec 21L
vs Jared Gordon · Aug 22Roman BogatovNo prior UFC fights on record.
Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Leonardo SantosMetricRoman Bogatov
2.82
Strikes / min
3.33
3.40
Strikes absorbed / min
4.40
54%
Strike defense
44%
0.88
TDs / 15 min
1.00
86%
Takedown defense
50%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.58evenly matched on net striking-1.07
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Leonardo SantosRoman Bogatov
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Leonardo Santos(10 fights)Roman Bogatov(1 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+103.0-103.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-48.648.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.849.8
Leonardo Santos
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights10
Roman Bogatov
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights1