Featherweight
3 Rounds
Lerone Murphy won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, March 18, 2023·London, England, United Kingdom, United Kingdom
Style matchupLerone Murphy: Elusive strikervsGabriel Santos: Wrestler
The wrestler must close distance through high-output striking. The elusive striker thrives in space.
Model Prediction: Lerone Murphy wins(50.5%)
Actual result: Lerone Murphy wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Lerone Murphy has 15pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Gabriel Santos has 43pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Lerone Murphy
Red Corner
VS
Gabriel Santos
Blue Corner
-180
(64%)
Vegas Odds
+152
(40%)
34
Age
29
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'9"
185.42 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Lerone Murphy
oldest →latest
W
vs Edson Barboza · May 24W
vs Dan Ige · Oct 24W
vs Josh Emmett · Apr 25W
KOvs Aaron Pico · Aug 25L
vs Movsar Evloev · Mar 26Gabriel SantosW2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs David Onama · Jun 23W
vs Yizha · Sep 24W
SUBvs Jack Jenkins · Feb 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Lerone MurphyMetricGabriel Santos
4.34
Strikes / min
4.35
2.65
Strikes absorbed / min
4.31
60%
Strike defense
45%
1.20
TDs / 15 min
3.80
44%
Takedown defense
87%
0.50
Sub atts / 15 min
1.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.69Δ 1.65 — meaningful gap+0.04
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Lerone MurphyGabriel Santos
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Lerone Murphy(10 fights)Gabriel Santos(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+50.2-50.2
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-49.649.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.549.5
Lerone Murphy
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights10
Gabriel Santos
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights4