Featherweight
3 Rounds
Lerone Murphy won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, July 22, 2023·London, England, United Kingdom, United Kingdom
Style matchupLerone Murphy: Elusive strikervsJosh Culibao: Well-rounded
The well-rounded fighter has more dimensions. The elusive striker needs to win the striking exchanges clearly.
Model Prediction: Lerone Murphy wins(76.8%)
Actual result: Lerone Murphy wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Josh Culibao has 21pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Lerone Murphy
Red Corner
VS
Josh Culibao
Blue Corner
-140
(58%)
Vegas Odds
+120
(45%)
34
Age
31
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'10"
185.42 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Lerone Murphy
oldest →latest
W
vs Edson Barboza · May 24W
vs Dan Ige · Oct 24W
vs Josh Emmett · Apr 25W
KOvs Aaron Pico · Aug 25L
vs Movsar Evloev · Mar 26Josh CulibaoL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Shayilan Nuerdanbieke · May 21W
vs SeungWoo Choi · Jun 22W
SUBvs Melsik Baghdasaryan · Feb 23L
vs Danny Silva · Mar 24L
vs Ricardo Ramos · Aug 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Lerone MurphyMetricJosh Culibao
4.34
Strikes / min
3.41
2.65
Strikes absorbed / min
3.04
60%
Strike defense
59%
1.20
TDs / 15 min
0.00
44%
Takedown defense
65%
0.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.69Δ 1.32 — meaningful gap+0.37
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Lerone MurphyJosh Culibao
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Lerone Murphy(10 fights)Josh Culibao(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+15.9-15.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-35.035.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
Lerone Murphy
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights10
Josh Culibao
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights6