Welterweight
3 Rounds
Carlos Prates won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, August 17, 2024·Perth, Western Australia, Australia, Australia
Style matchupLi Jingliang: Pressure fightervsCarlos Prates: Pressure fighter
Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.
Model Prediction: Carlos Prates wins(63.4%)
Actual result: Carlos Prates wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Carlos Prates has 17pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Carlos Prates (52.9%).
- Carlos Prates has a 18cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Li Jingliang
Red Corner
VS
Carlos Prates
Blue Corner
+320
(24%)
Vegas Odds
-410
(80%)
38
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
6'0"
Height
6'1"
180.34 cm
Reach
198.12 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Li Jingliang
oldest →latest
L
vs Neil Magny · Mar 20W
KOvs Santiago Ponzinibbio · Jan 21L
SUBvs Khamzat Chimaev · Oct 21W
KOvs Muslim Salikhov · Jul 22L
vs Daniel Rodriguez · Sep 22Carlos PratesW2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Charles Radtke · Jun 24W
KOvs Neil Magny · Nov 24L
vs Ian Machado Garry · Apr 25W
KOvs Geoff Neal · Aug 25W
KOvs Leon Edwards · Nov 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Li JingliangMetricCarlos Prates
4.46
Strikes / min
4.41
3.95
Strikes absorbed / min
4.30
56%
Strike defense
47%
1.19
TDs / 15 min
0.18
60%
Takedown defense
77%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.51evenly matched on net striking+0.11
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Li JingliangCarlos Prates
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Li Jingliang(10 fights)Carlos Prates(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+28.4-28.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+637.0-637.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.11.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.3-1.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Li Jingliang
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights17
Carlos Prates
StanceSwitch
Height73.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights7