Welterweight
3 Rounds
Khamzat Chimaev won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, October 30, 2021·Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates, United Arab Emirates
Style matchupLi Jingliang: Pressure fightervsKhamzat Chimaev: Wrestler
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Khamzat Chimaev wins(56.5%)
Actual result: Khamzat Chimaev wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Khamzat Chimaev enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Khamzat Chimaev has 27pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Khamzat Chimaev has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Li Jingliang
Red Corner
VS
Khamzat Chimaev
Blue Corner
+330
(23%)
Vegas Odds
-435
(81%)
38
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
6'2"
180.34 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Li JingliangL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Neil Magny · Mar 20W
KOvs Santiago Ponzinibbio · Jan 21W
KOvs Muslim Salikhov · Jul 22L
vs Daniel Rodriguez · Sep 22L
KOvs Carlos Prates · Aug 24Khamzat ChimaevW5 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Gilbert Burns · Apr 22W
SUBvs Kevin Holland · Sep 22W
vs Kamaru Usman · Oct 23W
SUBvs Robert Whittaker · Oct 24W
vs Dricus Du Plessis · Aug 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Li JingliangMetricKhamzat Chimaev
4.46
Strikes / min
4.01
3.95
Strikes absorbed / min
2.98
56%
Strike defense
52%
1.19
TDs / 15 min
5.32
60%
Takedown defense
87%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
1.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.51evenly matched on net striking+1.03
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Li JingliangKhamzat Chimaev
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Li Jingliang(10 fights)Khamzat Chimaev(9 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+32.5-32.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-119.0119.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.5-1.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.70.7
Li Jingliang
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights17
Khamzat Chimaev
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights9