Women's Strawweight
3 Rounds
Amanda Lemos won · KO/TKO
UFC Event·Saturday, March 6, 2021·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupLivinha Souza: WrestlervsAmanda Lemos: Well-rounded
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Livinha Souza wins(56.3%)
Actual result: Amanda Lemos wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Livinha Souza has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Amanda Lemos has 23pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Amanda Lemos (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Livinha Souza
Red Corner
VS
Amanda Lemos
Blue Corner
+200
(33%)
Vegas Odds
-240
(71%)
35
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'3"
Height
5'4"
160.02 cm
Reach
165.1 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Livinha Souza
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Alex Chambers · Sep 18W
vs Sarah Frota · Feb 19L
vs Brianna Van Buren · Jul 19W
vs Ashley Yoder · Aug 20L
vs Randa Markos · Oct 21Amanda LemosL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Mackenzie Dern · Feb 24L
SUBvs Virna Jandiroba · Jul 24W
vs Iasmin Lucindo · Mar 25L
vs Tatiana Suarez · Sep 25L
vs Gillian Robertson · Mar 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Livinha SouzaMetricAmanda Lemos
1.75
Strikes / min
2.75
3.60
Strikes absorbed / min
3.01
56%
Strike defense
45%
2.54
TDs / 15 min
1.02
40%
Takedown defense
63%
1.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.85Δ 1.59 — meaningful gap-0.26
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Livinha SouzaAmanda Lemos
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Livinha Souza(6 fights)Amanda Lemos(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+8.5-8.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+7.0-7.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Livinha Souza
StanceOrthodox
Height63.0"
Reach63.0"
Fights6
Amanda Lemos
StanceSouthpaw
Height64.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights15