Flyweight
3 Rounds
Lone'er Kavanagh won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, March 22, 2025·London, England, United Kingdom, United Kingdom
Model Prediction: Lone'er Kavanagh wins(75.2%)
Actual result: Lone'er Kavanagh wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Lone'er Kavanagh has 15pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Lone'er Kavanagh has 74pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Lone'er Kavanagh
Red Corner
VS
Felipe dos Santos
Blue Corner
-255
(72%)
Vegas Odds
+210
(32%)
26
Age
25
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'6"
Height
5'7"
170.18 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Lone'er Kavanagh
oldest →latest
W
vs Jose Ochoa · Nov 24L
KOvs Charles Johnson · Aug 25W
vs Brandon Moreno · Feb 26Felipe dos Santos
oldest →latest
L
vs Manel Kape · Sep 23W
vs Victor Altamirano · Feb 24L
vs Andre Lima · Sep 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Lone'er KavanaghMetricFelipe dos Santos
4.13
Strikes / min
3.75
3.49
Strikes absorbed / min
3.80
56%
Strike defense
41%
1.12
TDs / 15 min
0.00
94%
Takedown defense
20%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.64evenly matched on net striking-0.05
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Lone'er KavanaghFelipe dos Santos
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Lone'er Kavanagh(4 fights)Felipe dos Santos(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+29.0-29.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-77.077.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.4-1.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Lone'er Kavanagh
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights4
Felipe dos Santos
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights4