Flyweight
3 Rounds
Lone'er Kavanagh won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, November 23, 2024·Macau, China, China
Style matchupLone'er Kavanagh: Well-roundedvsJose Ochoa: Elusive striker
The well-rounded fighter has more dimensions. The elusive striker needs to win the striking exchanges clearly.
Model Prediction: Lone'er Kavanagh wins(64.1%)
Actual result: Lone'er Kavanagh wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Lone'er Kavanagh has 29pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Jose Ochoa (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Lone'er Kavanagh
Red Corner
VS
Jose Ochoa
Blue Corner
-310
(76%)
Vegas Odds
+250
(29%)
26
Age
25
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'6"
Height
5'7"
170.18 cm
Reach
170.18 cm
Recent Form
Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Lone'er Kavanagh
oldest →latest
W
vs Felipe dos Santos · Mar 25L
KOvs Charles Johnson · Aug 25W
vs Brandon Moreno · Feb 26Jose Ochoa
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Cody Durden · Jun 25L
vs Asu Almabayev · Jul 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Lone'er KavanaghMetricJose Ochoa
4.13
Strikes / min
5.16
3.49
Strikes absorbed / min
2.99
56%
Strike defense
58%
1.12
TDs / 15 min
0.30
94%
Takedown defense
65%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.90
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.64Δ 1.53 — meaningful gap+2.17
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Lone'er KavanaghJose Ochoa
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Lone'er Kavanagh(4 fights)Jose Ochoa(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Lone'er Kavanagh
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights4
Jose Ochoa
StanceSouthpaw
Height67.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights3