Middleweight
3 Rounds
Brad Tavares won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Wednesday, January 15, 2014·Duluth, Georgia, USA, USA
Style matchupLorenz Larkin: Elusive strikervsBrad Tavares: Well-rounded
The well-rounded fighter has more dimensions. The elusive striker needs to win the striking exchanges clearly.
Model Prediction: Brad Tavares wins(54.9%)
Actual result: Brad Tavares wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Lorenz Larkin is a KO finisher (60% of wins). Brad Tavares has lost 50% of fights by KO.
Tale of the Tape
Lorenz Larkin
Red Corner
VS
Brad Tavares
Blue Corner
-260
(72%)
Vegas Odds
+240
(29%)
39
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'11"
Height
6'1"
182.88 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Lorenz LarkinW2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs John Howard · Jan 15W
KOvs Santiago Ponzinibbio · Jun 15L
vs Albert Tumenov · Jan 16W
vs Jorge Masvidal · May 16W
KOvs Neil Magny · Aug 16Brad TavaresL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Gregory Rodrigues · Feb 24L
vs JunYong Park · Oct 24W
vs Gerald Meerschaert · Apr 25L
KOvs Robert Bryczek · Sep 25L
vs Eryk Anders · Mar 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Lorenz LarkinMetricBrad Tavares
3.53
Strikes / min
3.41
2.74
Strikes absorbed / min
3.32
63%
Strike defense
54%
0.27
TDs / 15 min
0.70
79%
Takedown defense
80%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.79evenly matched on net striking+0.09
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Lorenz LarkinBrad Tavares
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Lorenz Larkin(10 fights)Brad Tavares(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-73.773.7
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-70.070.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.60.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
Lorenz Larkin
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights10
Brad Tavares
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights28