Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Brando Pericic has 28pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Brando Pericic has 71pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Louie Sutherland
oldest →L
SUBvs Valter Walker · Oct 25W
DECvs Tai Tuivasa · May 26L
SUBvs Jose Montanha · Aug 26 Brando PericicW2 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Elisha Ellison · Sep 25W
KOvs Shamil Gaziev · May 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Louie SutherlandMetricBrando Pericic
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.22Δ 6.96 — meaningful gap+6.74
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Louie SutherlandBrando Pericic
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Louie Sutherland(3 fights)Brando Pericic(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -82.2|Blue +82.2
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -2.0|Blue +2.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.6|Blue +0.6
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -28.0|Blue +28.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Louie SutherlandTargetBrando Pericic
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Brando Pericic edged it
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns1
Control0:40
19Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:19Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
