Flyweight
3 Rounds
Louis Gaudinot won · SUB R2
UFC Event·Saturday, May 5, 2012·East Rutherford, New Jersey, USA, USA
Model Prediction: John Lineker wins(52.4%)
Actual result: Louis Gaudinot wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Louis Gaudinot enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- John Lineker has 36pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- John Lineker has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Louis Gaudinot
Red Corner
VS
John Lineker
Blue Corner
+245
(29%)
Vegas Odds
-265
(73%)
41
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'3"
Height
5'3"
160.02 cm
Reach
170.18 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Louis GaudinotL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Johnny Bedford · Dec 11L
vs Tim Elliott · Aug 13L
vs Kyoji Horiguchi · Jan 15John Lineker
oldest →latest
W
vs John Dodson · Oct 16L
vs TJ Dillashaw · Dec 16W
vs Marlon Vera · Oct 17W
KOvs Brian Kelleher · May 18L
vs Cory Sandhagen · Apr 19Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Louis GaudinotMetricJohn Lineker
2.34
Strikes / min
5.36
6.42
Strikes absorbed / min
4.27
48%
Strike defense
56%
0.57
TDs / 15 min
0.56
31%
Takedown defense
67%
1.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-4.08Δ 5.17 — meaningful gap+1.09
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Louis GaudinotJohn Lineker
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Louis Gaudinot(4 fights)John Lineker(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-16.016.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.01.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-50.050.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-50.050.0
Louis Gaudinot
StanceOrthodox
Height63.0"
Reach63.0"
Fights4
John Lineker
StanceOrthodox
Height63.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights16