Flyweight
3 Rounds
Louis Smolka won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Wednesday, July 13, 2016·Sioux Falls, South Dakota, USA, USA
Style matchupLouis Smolka: Submission grapplervsBen Nguyen: Well-rounded
Well-rounded fighters can dictate where this happens. The grappler needs scrambles to find their entries.
Model Prediction: Louis Smolka wins(59.6%)
Actual result: Louis Smolka wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Ben Nguyen threatens submissions; Louis Smolka has lost 33% of fights by sub.
- Ben Nguyen has 31pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Ben Nguyen (52.9%).
Tale of the Tape
Louis Smolka
Red Corner
VS
Ben Nguyen
Blue Corner
+105
(49%)
Vegas Odds
-125
(56%)
34
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
5'9"
Height
5'5"
172.72 cm
Reach
165.1 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Louis SmolkaL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Ryan MacDonald · Sep 19L
SUBvs Casey Kenney · May 20W
KOvs Jose Quinonez · Dec 20L
KOvs Vince Morales · Dec 21L
KOvs Davey Grant · May 22Ben NguyenL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Ryan Benoit · Nov 15W
vs Geane Herrera · Nov 16W
SUBvs Tim Elliott · Jun 17L
SUBvs Jussier Formiga · Feb 18L
vs Wilson Reis · Dec 18Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Louis SmolkaMetricBen Nguyen
4.67
Strikes / min
3.51
4.11
Strikes absorbed / min
3.01
53%
Strike defense
59%
1.69
TDs / 15 min
0.25
32%
Takedown defense
63%
1.80
Sub atts / 15 min
1.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.56evenly matched on net striking+0.50
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Louis SmolkaBen Nguyen
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Louis Smolka(10 fights)Ben Nguyen(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+18.8-18.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+21.0-21.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+2.5-2.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Louis Smolka
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights17
Ben Nguyen
StanceSwitch
Height65.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights7