Flyweight
3 Rounds
Ray Borg won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Friday, December 30, 2016·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupLouis Smolka: Submission grapplervsRay Borg: Wrestler
Wrestler wants to control on top; grappler wants to threaten subs from bottom. Cage position is critical.
Model Prediction: Louis Smolka wins(54.9%)
Actual result: Ray Borg wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Louis Smolka has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Louis Smolka
Red Corner
VS
Ray Borg
Blue Corner
+120
(45%)
Vegas Odds
-140
(58%)
34
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'4"
172.72 cm
Reach
160.02 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Louis SmolkaL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Ryan MacDonald · Sep 19L
SUBvs Casey Kenney · May 20W
KOvs Jose Quinonez · Dec 20L
KOvs Vince Morales · Dec 21L
KOvs Davey Grant · May 22Ray Borg
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Demetrious Johnson · Oct 17L
vs Casey Kenney · Mar 19W
vs Gabriel Silva · Jul 19W
vs Rogerio Bontorin · Feb 20L
vs Ricky Simon · May 20Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Louis SmolkaMetricRay Borg
4.67
Strikes / min
1.52
4.11
Strikes absorbed / min
1.93
53%
Strike defense
48%
1.69
TDs / 15 min
3.89
32%
Takedown defense
46%
1.80
Sub atts / 15 min
1.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.56evenly matched on net striking-0.41
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Louis SmolkaRay Borg
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Louis Smolka(10 fights)Ray Borg(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+30.0-30.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-238.0238.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+2.8-2.8
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
Louis Smolka
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights17
Ray Borg
StanceOrthodox
Height64.0"
Reach63.0"
Fights12