Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Hecher Sosa won · U-DEC R3
LL
HS
Luan LacerdavsHecher Sosa
UFC Event · Saturday, March 14, 2026Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupLuan Lacerda: WrestlervsHecher Sosa: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Luan Lacerda wins(54.6%)
Actual result: Hecher Sosa wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Hecher Sosa has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Tale of the Tape
Luan Lacerda
Red Corner
VS
Hecher Sosa
Blue Corner
+164
(38%)
Vegas Odds
-196
(66%)
33
Age
30
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'9"
180.34 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Luan Lacerda
oldest →latest
L
vs Cody Stamann · Jan 23L
KOvs Da'Mon Blackshear · Jun 23W
SUBvs Saimon Oliveira · Oct 25Hecher SosaNo prior UFC fights on record.
Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Luan LacerdaMetricHecher Sosa
4.06
Strikes / min
4.53
6.15
Strikes absorbed / min
2.50
49%
Strike defense
61%
2.82
TDs / 15 min
2.00
66%
Takedown defense
69%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
1.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-2.09Δ 4.12 — meaningful gap+2.03
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Luan LacerdaHecher Sosa
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Luan Lacerda(4 fights)Hecher Sosa(1 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-15.315.3
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.7-0.7
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-49.649.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.649.6
Luan Lacerda
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights4
Hecher Sosa
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights1