Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Luana Santos enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Luana Santos has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Luana Santos has 40pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Mariya Agapova (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Luana SantosW3 streak
oldest →W
vs Stephanie Egger · Dec 23L
vs Casey O'Neill · Aug 24W
SUBvs Tainara Lisboa · May 25W
vs Melissa Croden · Dec 25W
DECvs Karol Rosa · Jun 26 Mariya AgapovaL2 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Hannah Cifers · Jun 20L
KOvs Shana Dobson · Aug 20W
SUBvs Sabina Mazo · Oct 21L
SUBvs Maryna Moroz · Mar 22L
SUBvs Gillian Robertson · Sep 22 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Luana SantosMetricMariya Agapova
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.06evenly matched on net striking+0.81
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Luana SantosMariya Agapova
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Luana Santos(7 fights)Mariya Agapova(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +59.4|Blue -59.4
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +1.5|Blue -1.5
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -448.0|Blue +448.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Luana SantosTargetMariya Agapova
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Luana Santos edged it
Sig. strikes2
Takedowns1
Control2:23
3Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
