Women's Flyweight
3 Rounds
Luana Santos won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, July 13, 2024·Denver, Colorado, USA, USA
Style matchupLuana Santos: WrestlervsMariya Agapova: Pressure fighter
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Luana Santos wins(58.0%)
Actual result: Luana Santos wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Luana Santos threatens submissions; Mariya Agapova has lost 75% of fights by sub.
- Luana Santos has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Luana Santos has 40pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Mariya Agapova (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Luana Santos
Red Corner
VS
Mariya Agapova
Blue Corner
-425
(81%)
Vegas Odds
+300
(25%)
26
Age
29
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'6"
Height
5'6"
170.18 cm
Reach
172.72 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Luana SantosW2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Juliana Miller · Aug 23W
vs Stephanie Egger · Dec 23L
vs Casey O'Neill · Aug 24W
SUBvs Tainara Lisboa · May 25W
vs Melissa Croden · Dec 25Mariya AgapovaL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Hannah Cifers · Jun 20L
KOvs Shana Dobson · Aug 20W
SUBvs Sabina Mazo · Oct 21L
SUBvs Maryna Moroz · Mar 22L
SUBvs Gillian Robertson · Sep 22Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Luana SantosMetricMariya Agapova
2.99
Strikes / min
4.43
2.93
Strikes absorbed / min
3.62
63%
Strike defense
52%
2.17
TDs / 15 min
0.55
85%
Takedown defense
45%
1.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.06evenly matched on net striking+0.81
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Luana SantosMariya Agapova
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Luana Santos(6 fights)Mariya Agapova(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+47.2-47.2
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-448.0448.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.5-1.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Luana Santos
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights6
Mariya Agapova
StanceSouthpaw
Height66.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights6