Women's Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Luana Santos won · SUB R2
UFC Event·Saturday, May 17, 2025·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Luana Santos wins(57.4%)
Actual result: Luana Santos wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Luana Santos threatens submissions; Tainara Lisboa has lost 50% of fights by sub.
- Luana Santos has 18pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Luana Santos has 32pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Luana Santos
Red Corner
VS
Tainara Lisboa
Blue Corner
-148
(60%)
Vegas Odds
+150
(40%)
26
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'6"
Height
5'7"
170.18 cm
Reach
170.18 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Luana Santos
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Juliana Miller · Aug 23W
vs Stephanie Egger · Dec 23W
SUBvs Mariya Agapova · Jul 24L
vs Casey O'Neill · Aug 24W
vs Melissa Croden · Dec 25Tainara Lisboa
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Jessica-Rose Clark · May 23W
vs Ravena Oliveira · Oct 23L
KOvs Melissa Croden · Oct 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Luana SantosMetricTainara Lisboa
2.99
Strikes / min
2.01
2.93
Strikes absorbed / min
2.88
63%
Strike defense
45%
2.17
TDs / 15 min
1.67
85%
Takedown defense
53%
1.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.06evenly matched on net striking-0.87
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Luana SantosTainara Lisboa
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Luana Santos(6 fights)Tainara Lisboa(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-2.72.7
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-308.0308.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.70.7
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Luana Santos
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights6
Tainara Lisboa
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights4