Lightweight
3 Rounds
Lucas Martins won · KO/TKO R3
UFC Event·Saturday, May 18, 2013·Jaragua do Sul, Santa Catarina, Brazil, Brazil
Style matchupLucas Martins: Well-roundedvsJeremy Larsen: Wrestler
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Jeremy Larsen wins(59.6%)
Actual result: Lucas Martins wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Lucas Martins is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Jeremy Larsen has lost 100% of fights by KO.
- Lucas Martins has 76pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Lucas Martins (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Lucas Martins
Red Corner
VS
Jeremy Larsen
Blue Corner
-315
(76%)
Vegas Odds
+285
(26%)
37
Age
42
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
5'10"
182.88 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Lucas Martins
oldest →latest
W
vs Junior Hernandez · Sep 13W
KOvs Alex White · Jul 14L
vs Darren Elkins · Oct 14L
KOvs Mirsad Bektic · May 15W
vs Rob Whiteford · Apr 16Jeremy LarsenL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Joe Proctor · Jun 12L
KOvs Andre Fili · Oct 13Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Lucas MartinsMetricJeremy Larsen
2.87
Strikes / min
4.87
4.14
Strikes absorbed / min
5.75
60%
Strike defense
57%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
2.49
76%
Takedown defense
0%
0.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.27evenly matched on net striking-0.88
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Lucas MartinsJeremy Larsen
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Lucas Martins(7 fights)Jeremy Larsen(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+2.5-2.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-232.0232.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Lucas Martins
StanceSouthpaw
Height72.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights7
Jeremy Larsen
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights3