Featherweight
3 Rounds
Mirsad Bektic won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, May 30, 2015·Goiania, Goias, Brazil, Brazil
Style matchupLucas Martins: Well-roundedvsMirsad Bektic: Wrestler
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Mirsad Bektic wins(54.9%)
Actual result: Mirsad Bektic wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Mirsad Bektic enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Lucas Martins is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Mirsad Bektic has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Mirsad Bektic has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Lucas Martins (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Lucas Martins
Red Corner
VS
Mirsad Bektic
Blue Corner
+345
(22%)
Vegas Odds
-430
(81%)
37
Age
35
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
5'8"
182.88 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Lucas Martins
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Jeremy Larsen · May 13W
vs Junior Hernandez · Sep 13W
KOvs Alex White · Jul 14L
vs Darren Elkins · Oct 14W
vs Rob Whiteford · Apr 16Mirsad BekticL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Godofredo Pepey · Jan 18W
vs Ricardo Lamas · Jun 18L
KOvs Josh Emmett · Jul 19L
vs Dan Ige · Feb 20L
SUBvs Damon Jackson · Sep 20Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Lucas MartinsMetricMirsad Bektic
2.87
Strikes / min
2.43
4.14
Strikes absorbed / min
1.80
60%
Strike defense
57%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
3.98
76%
Takedown defense
92%
0.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.27Δ 1.90 — meaningful gap+0.63
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Lucas MartinsMirsad Bektic
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Lucas Martins(7 fights)Mirsad Bektic(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-12.312.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+91.0-91.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.90.9
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
Lucas Martins
StanceSouthpaw
Height72.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights7
Mirsad Bektic
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights10