Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Luis Henrique won · SUB R2
UFC Event·Saturday, July 23, 2016·Chicago, Illinois, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Luis Henrique wins(60.3%)
Actual result: Luis Henrique wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Luis Henrique enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Luis Henrique threatens submissions; Dmitrii Smoliakov has lost 33% of fights by sub.
- Dmitrii Smoliakov has 25pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Dmitrii Smoliakov (52.9%).
Tale of the Tape
Luis Henrique
Red Corner
VS
Dmitrii Smoliakov
Blue Corner
+105
(49%)
Vegas Odds
-125
(56%)
32
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
6'2"
Height
6'2"
187.96 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Luis HenriqueL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Francis Ngannou · Dec 15W
SUBvs Christian Colombo · Nov 16L
KOvs Marcin Tybura · Mar 17L
vs Arjan Bhullar · Sep 17L
vs Ryan Spann · Sep 18Dmitrii SmoliakovL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Cyril Asker · Jan 17L
KOvs Greg Hardy · Apr 19Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Luis HenriqueMetricDmitrii Smoliakov
1.81
Strikes / min
1.44
2.22
Strikes absorbed / min
3.81
47%
Strike defense
55%
3.09
TDs / 15 min
0.00
50%
Takedown defense
75%
1.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.41Δ 1.96 — meaningful gap-2.37
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Luis HenriqueDmitrii Smoliakov
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Luis Henrique(6 fights)Dmitrii Smoliakov(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-13.513.5
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.01.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-50.050.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-50.050.0
Luis Henrique
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights6
Dmitrii Smoliakov
StanceSwitch
Height74.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights3