Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Ryan Spann won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, September 22, 2018·Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo, Brazil, Brazil
Style matchupLuis Henrique: WrestlervsRyan Spann: Submission grappler
Wrestler wants to control on top; grappler wants to threaten subs from bottom. Cage position is critical.
Model Prediction: Luis Henrique wins(54.9%)
Actual result: Ryan Spann wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Luis Henrique threatens submissions; Ryan Spann has lost 33% of fights by sub.
- Ryan Spann has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Luis Henrique
Red Corner
VS
Ryan Spann
Blue Corner
-105
(51%)
Vegas Odds
-115
(53%)
32
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'2"
Height
6'5"
187.96 cm
Reach
200.66 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Luis HenriqueL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Francis Ngannou · Dec 15W
SUBvs Dmitrii Smoliakov · Jul 16W
SUBvs Christian Colombo · Nov 16L
KOvs Marcin Tybura · Mar 17L
vs Arjan Bhullar · Sep 17Ryan Spann
oldest →latest
L
vs Anthony Smith · Aug 23L
KOvs Bogdan Guskov · Apr 24W
SUBvs Ovince Saint Preux · Oct 24L
KOvs Waldo Cortes Acosta · Mar 25W
SUBvs Lukasz Brzeski · Jul 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Luis HenriqueMetricRyan Spann
1.81
Strikes / min
3.11
2.22
Strikes absorbed / min
3.92
47%
Strike defense
43%
3.09
TDs / 15 min
1.21
50%
Takedown defense
59%
1.00
Sub atts / 15 min
1.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.41evenly matched on net striking-0.81
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Luis HenriqueRyan Spann
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Luis Henrique(6 fights)Ryan Spann(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-13.513.5
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-49.149.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.749.7
Luis Henrique
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights6
Ryan Spann
StanceOrthodox
Height77.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights15