Lightweight
3 Rounds
Luis Pena won · S-DEC
UFC Event·Saturday, April 17, 2021·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupLuis Pena: Submission grapplervsAlexander Munoz: Wrestler
Wrestler wants to control on top; grappler wants to threaten subs from bottom. Cage position is critical.
Model Prediction: Luis Pena wins(63.8%)
Actual result: Luis Pena wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Alexander Munoz has 52pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Alexander Munoz (54.1%).
Tale of the Tape
Luis Pena
Red Corner
VS
Alexander Munoz
Blue Corner
-155
(61%)
Vegas Odds
+135
(43%)
32
Age
36
Southpaw
Stance
Switch
6'3"
Height
5'9"
190.5 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Luis Pena
oldest →latest
W
vs Steven Peterson · Mar 19W
KOvs Matt Wiman · Jun 19L
vs Matt Frevola · Oct 19W
vs Steve Garcia · Feb 20L
SUBvs Khama Worthy · Jun 20Alexander Munoz
oldest →latest
W
vs Carl Deaton · Jul 23Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Luis PenaMetricAlexander Munoz
3.66
Strikes / min
3.70
3.12
Strikes absorbed / min
4.73
51%
Strike defense
55%
1.17
TDs / 15 min
3.00
48%
Takedown defense
100%
1.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.54Δ 1.57 — meaningful gap-1.03
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Luis PenaAlexander Munoz
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Luis Pena(8 fights)Alexander Munoz(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+14.5-14.5
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-49.549.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.649.6
Luis Pena
StanceSouthpaw
Height75.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights8
Alexander Munoz
StanceSwitch
Height69.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights2