Featherweight
3 Rounds
Luis Pena won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, March 23, 2019·Nashville, Tennessee, USA, USA
Style matchupLuis Pena: Submission grapplervsSteven Peterson: Pressure fighter
The pressure fighter risks getting subbed if they over-commit on the ground.
Model Prediction: Luis Pena wins(66.3%)
Actual result: Luis Pena wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Steven Peterson has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Luis Pena (53.5%).
- Luis Pena has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Luis Pena
Red Corner
VS
Steven Peterson
Blue Corner
-225
(69%)
Vegas Odds
+185
(35%)
32
Age
35
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'3"
Height
5'10"
190.5 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Luis Pena
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Matt Wiman · Jun 19L
vs Matt Frevola · Oct 19W
vs Steve Garcia · Feb 20L
SUBvs Khama Worthy · Jun 20W
vs Alexander Munoz · Apr 21Steven PetersonL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Alex Caceres · Jul 19W
KOvs Martin Bravo · Sep 19W
vs Chase Hooper · Jun 21L
vs Julian Erosa · Feb 22L
vs Lucas Alexander · Mar 23Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Luis PenaMetricSteven Peterson
3.66
Strikes / min
4.76
3.12
Strikes absorbed / min
5.94
51%
Strike defense
53%
1.17
TDs / 15 min
1.42
48%
Takedown defense
64%
1.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.54Δ 1.72 — meaningful gap-1.18
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Luis PenaSteven Peterson
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Luis Pena(8 fights)Steven Peterson(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+0.7-0.7
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-127.0127.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-1.91.9
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
Luis Pena
StanceSouthpaw
Height75.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights8
Steven Peterson
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights8