Welterweight
3 Rounds
Tom Breese won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, May 30, 2015·Goiania, Goias, Brazil, Brazil
Style matchupLuiz Dutra: StrikervsTom Breese: Well-rounded
The well-rounded fighter has more paths to victory. The striker needs to be sharp early.
Model Prediction: Luiz Dutra wins(54.8%)
Actual result: Tom Breese wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Tom Breese is a KO finisher (80% of wins). Luiz Dutra has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Tom Breese has 19pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Luiz Dutra has 30pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Tom Breese (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Luiz Dutra
Red Corner
VS
Tom Breese
Blue Corner
+135
(43%)
Vegas Odds
-155
(61%)
44
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'11"
Height
6'3"
180.34 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Luiz Dutra
oldest →latest
L
vs Kiichi Kunimoto · Jan 14Tom Breese
oldest →latest
L
vs Sean Strickland · Jun 16W
KOvs Daniel Kelly · May 18L
KOvs Brendan Allen · Feb 20W
KOvs KB Bhullar · Oct 20L
SUBvs Omari Akhmedov · Jan 21Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Luiz DutraMetricTom Breese
3.92
Strikes / min
3.34
4.80
Strikes absorbed / min
2.81
41%
Strike defense
60%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
0.00
100%
Takedown defense
70%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
1.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.88Δ 1.41 — meaningful gap+0.53
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Luiz DutraTom Breese
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Luiz Dutra(2 fights)Tom Breese(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-18.518.5
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.01.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-50.050.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-50.050.0
Luiz Dutra
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach—
Fights2
Tom Breese
StanceSouthpaw
Height75.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights8