Middleweight
3 Rounds
Luke Rockhold won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, April 26, 2014·Baltimore, Maryland, USA, USA
Style matchupLuke Rockhold: Well-roundedvsTim Boetsch: Well-rounded
Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.
Model Prediction: Luke Rockhold wins(60.6%)
Actual result: Luke Rockhold wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Luke Rockhold enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Tim Boetsch is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Luke Rockhold has lost 80% of fights by KO.
- Luke Rockhold threatens submissions; Tim Boetsch has lost 50% of fights by sub.
- Stance matchup historically favors Luke Rockhold (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Luke Rockhold
Red Corner
VS
Tim Boetsch
Blue Corner
-1000
(91%)
Vegas Odds
+800
(11%)
41
Age
45
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'3"
Height
6'0"
195.58 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Luke RockholdL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Michael Bisping · Jun 16W
KOvs David Branch · Sep 17L
KOvs Yoel Romero · Feb 18L
KOvs Jan Blachowicz · Jul 19L
vs Paulo Costa · Aug 22Tim BoetschL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Rafael Natal · Nov 16L
SUBvs Jacare Souza · Feb 17W
KOvs Johny Hendricks · Jun 17L
SUBvs Antonio Carlos Junior · Apr 18L
vs Omari Akhmedov · Mar 19Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Luke RockholdMetricTim Boetsch
4.10
Strikes / min
2.93
2.68
Strikes absorbed / min
2.90
53%
Strike defense
57%
0.70
TDs / 15 min
1.45
65%
Takedown defense
59%
1.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.42Δ 1.39 — meaningful gap+0.03
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Luke RockholdTim Boetsch
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Luke Rockhold(10 fights)Tim Boetsch(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-46.046.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-88.088.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-1.61.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
Luke Rockhold
StanceSouthpaw
Height75.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights11
Tim Boetsch
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights20