Featherweight
3 Rounds
Felipe Colares won · U-DEC
UFC Event·Saturday, May 1, 2021·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Luke Sanders wins(69.6%)
Actual result: Felipe Colares wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Felipe Colares enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Luke Sanders has 14pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Luke Sanders has 29pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Luke Sanders (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Luke Sanders
Red Corner
VS
Felipe Colares
Blue Corner
-127
(56%)
Vegas Odds
+107
(48%)
40
Age
32
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'6"
Height
5'8"
170.18 cm
Reach
175.26 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Luke Sanders
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Andre Soukhamthath · Dec 17W
vs Patrick Williams · Apr 18L
SUBvs Rani Yahya · Aug 18W
KOvs Renan Barao · Feb 19L
SUBvs Nate Maness · Nov 20Felipe ColaresL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Geraldo de Freitas · Feb 19W
vs Domingo Pilarte · Jul 19L
vs Montel Jackson · Jan 20L
vs Chris Gutierrez · Oct 21L
KOvs Chase Hooper · May 22Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Luke SandersMetricFelipe Colares
6.61
Strikes / min
2.17
4.37
Strikes absorbed / min
4.65
50%
Strike defense
36%
0.71
TDs / 15 min
1.88
72%
Takedown defense
43%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+2.24Δ 4.72 — meaningful gap-2.48
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Luke SandersFelipe Colares
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Luke Sanders(8 fights)Felipe Colares(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+5.5-5.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-308.0308.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+2.0-2.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Luke Sanders
StanceSouthpaw
Height66.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights8
Felipe Colares
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights6