Catch Weight
3 Rounds
Nate Maness won · SUB
UFC Event·Saturday, November 28, 2020·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupLuke Sanders: Pressure fightervsNate Maness: Well-rounded
The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.
Model Prediction: Luke Sanders wins(63.3%)
Actual result: Nate Maness wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Luke Sanders (53.5%).
- Nate Maness has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Luke Sanders
Red Corner
VS
Nate Maness
Blue Corner
-155
(61%)
Vegas Odds
+125
(44%)
40
Age
34
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'6"
Height
5'10"
170.18 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Luke Sanders
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Andre Soukhamthath · Dec 17W
vs Patrick Williams · Apr 18L
SUBvs Rani Yahya · Aug 18W
KOvs Renan Barao · Feb 19L
vs Felipe Colares · May 21Nate ManessW2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Tony Gravely · Sep 21L
vs Umar Nurmagomedov · Jun 22L
SUBvs Tagir Ulanbekov · Nov 22W
KOvs Mateus Mendonca · Oct 23W
vs Jimmy Flick · Jun 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Luke SandersMetricNate Maness
6.61
Strikes / min
3.14
4.37
Strikes absorbed / min
3.88
50%
Strike defense
42%
0.71
TDs / 15 min
0.68
72%
Takedown defense
80%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+2.24Δ 2.98 — meaningful gap-0.74
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Luke SandersNate Maness
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Luke Sanders(8 fights)Nate Maness(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-9.49.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+531.0-531.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.80.8
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+2.5-2.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Luke Sanders
StanceSouthpaw
Height66.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights8
Nate Maness
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights7