Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Luke Sanders won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, April 14, 2018·Glendale, Arizona, USA, USA
Style matchupLuke Sanders: Pressure fightervsPatrick Williams: Wrestler
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Luke Sanders wins(69.9%)
Actual result: Luke Sanders wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Patrick Williams threatens submissions; Luke Sanders has lost 60% of fights by sub.
- Patrick Williams has 28pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Luke Sanders (53.5%).
- Patrick Williams has a 15cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Luke Sanders
Red Corner
VS
Patrick Williams
Blue Corner
-430
(81%)
Vegas Odds
+345
(22%)
40
Age
44
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'6"
Height
5'8"
170.18 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Luke SandersL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Andre Soukhamthath · Dec 17L
SUBvs Rani Yahya · Aug 18W
KOvs Renan Barao · Feb 19L
SUBvs Nate Maness · Nov 20L
vs Felipe Colares · May 21Patrick Williams
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Chris Beal · Apr 14W
SUBvs Alejandro Perez · Jun 15L
KOvs Tom Duquesnoy · Apr 17Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Luke SandersMetricPatrick Williams
6.61
Strikes / min
4.12
4.37
Strikes absorbed / min
4.12
50%
Strike defense
52%
0.71
TDs / 15 min
2.71
72%
Takedown defense
100%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+2.24Δ 2.24 — meaningful gap0.00
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Luke SandersPatrick Williams
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Luke Sanders(8 fights)Patrick Williams(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-0.30.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-238.0238.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.4-1.4
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Luke Sanders
StanceSouthpaw
Height66.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights8
Patrick Williams
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights4