Welterweight
3 Rounds
Lyman Good won · KO/TKO R3
UFC Event·Saturday, November 2, 2019·New York City, New York, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Lyman Good wins(55.2%)
Actual result: Lyman Good wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Lyman Good is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Chance Rencountre has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Chance Rencountre threatens submissions; Lyman Good has lost 33% of fights by sub.
- Lyman Good has 14pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Lyman Good has 59pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Chance Rencountre (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Lyman Good
Red Corner
VS
Chance Rencountre
Blue Corner
-115
(53%)
Vegas Odds
-105
(51%)
40
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'0"
Height
6'2"
187.96 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Lyman GoodL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Andrew Craig · Jul 15L
vs Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos · Jul 17W
KOvs Ben Saunders · Nov 18L
SUBvs Demian Maia · Feb 19L
vs Belal Muhammad · Jun 20Chance RencountreW2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Belal Muhammad · Jun 18W
SUBvs Kyle Stewart · Jan 19W
vs Ismail Naurdiev · Jul 19Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Lyman GoodMetricChance Rencountre
5.34
Strikes / min
1.10
4.01
Strikes absorbed / min
3.62
63%
Strike defense
49%
0.27
TDs / 15 min
1.35
75%
Takedown defense
16%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.33Δ 3.85 — meaningful gap-2.52
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Lyman GoodChance Rencountre
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Lyman Good(6 fights)Chance Rencountre(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-19.419.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+154.0-154.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.80.8
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+2.3-2.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
Lyman Good
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights6
Chance Rencountre
StanceSouthpaw
Height74.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights4