Middleweight
5 Rounds
Lyoto Machida won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, December 20, 2014·Barueri, Sao Paulo, Brazil, Brazil
Style matchupLyoto Machida: Well-roundedvsCB Dollaway: Wrestler
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: CB Dollaway wins(52.0%)
Actual result: Lyoto Machida wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Lyoto Machida is a KO finisher (63% of wins). CB Dollaway has lost 71% of fights by KO.
- Stance matchup historically favors Lyoto Machida (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Lyoto Machida
Red Corner
VS
CB Dollaway
Blue Corner
-860
(90%)
Vegas Odds
+675
(13%)
47
Age
42
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
6'2"
187.96 cm
Reach
193.04 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Lyoto MachidaW2 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Luke Rockhold · Apr 15L
KOvs Yoel Romero · Jun 15L
KOvs Derek Brunson · Oct 17W
vs Eryk Anders · Feb 18W
KOvs Vitor Belfort · May 18CB Dollaway
oldest →latest
L
vs Michael Bisping · Apr 15L
KOvs Nate Marquardt · Dec 15W
vs Ed Herman · Jul 17W
vs Hector Lombard · Mar 18L
KOvs Khalid Murtazaliev · Sep 18Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Lyoto MachidaMetricCB Dollaway
2.59
Strikes / min
2.65
1.57
Strikes absorbed / min
2.58
61%
Strike defense
54%
1.21
TDs / 15 min
3.55
75%
Takedown defense
62%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
1.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.02evenly matched on net striking+0.07
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Lyoto MachidaCB Dollaway
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Lyoto Machida(10 fights)CB Dollaway(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-21.521.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-35.035.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.60.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.3-1.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
Lyoto Machida
StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights16
CB Dollaway
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights14