Middleweight
5 Rounds
Lyoto Machida won · S-DEC R5
UFC Event·Saturday, February 3, 2018·Belem, Para, Brazil, Brazil
Style matchupLyoto Machida: Well-roundedvsEryk Anders: Well-rounded
Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.
Model Prediction: Eryk Anders wins(58.0%)
Actual result: Lyoto Machida wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Lyoto Machida has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Tale of the Tape
Lyoto Machida
Red Corner
VS
Eryk Anders
Blue Corner
+205
(33%)
Vegas Odds
-245
(71%)
47
Age
39
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
6'1"
Height
6'1"
187.96 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Lyoto Machida
oldest →latest
W
KOvs CB Dollaway · Dec 14L
SUBvs Luke Rockhold · Apr 15L
KOvs Yoel Romero · Jun 15L
KOvs Derek Brunson · Oct 17W
KOvs Vitor Belfort · May 18Eryk Anders
oldest →latest
L
vs Marc-Andre Barriault · Jun 23W
vs Jamie Pickett · Mar 24W
KOvs Chris Weidman · Dec 24L
KOvs Christian Leroy Duncan · Aug 25W
vs Brad Tavares · Mar 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Lyoto MachidaMetricEryk Anders
2.59
Strikes / min
3.44
1.57
Strikes absorbed / min
4.03
61%
Strike defense
50%
1.21
TDs / 15 min
1.83
75%
Takedown defense
80%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.02Δ 1.61 — meaningful gap-0.59
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Lyoto MachidaEryk Anders
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Lyoto Machida(10 fights)Eryk Anders(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-43.343.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+42.0-42.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.81.8
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.3-1.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Lyoto Machida
StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights16
Eryk Anders
StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights19