Middleweight
5 Rounds
Luke Rockhold won · SUB R2
UFC Event·Saturday, April 18, 2015·Newark, New Jersey, USA, USA
Style matchupLyoto Machida: Well-roundedvsLuke Rockhold: Well-rounded
Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.
Model Prediction: Luke Rockhold wins(52.0%)
Actual result: Luke Rockhold wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Luke Rockhold enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Lyoto Machida is a KO finisher (63% of wins). Luke Rockhold has lost 80% of fights by KO.
Tale of the Tape
Lyoto Machida
Red Corner
VS
Luke Rockhold
Blue Corner
+125
(44%)
Vegas Odds
-145
(59%)
47
Age
41
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
6'1"
Height
6'3"
187.96 cm
Reach
195.58 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Lyoto MachidaW2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs CB Dollaway · Dec 14L
KOvs Yoel Romero · Jun 15L
KOvs Derek Brunson · Oct 17W
vs Eryk Anders · Feb 18W
KOvs Vitor Belfort · May 18Luke RockholdL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Michael Bisping · Jun 16W
KOvs David Branch · Sep 17L
KOvs Yoel Romero · Feb 18L
KOvs Jan Blachowicz · Jul 19L
vs Paulo Costa · Aug 22Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Lyoto MachidaMetricLuke Rockhold
2.59
Strikes / min
4.10
1.57
Strikes absorbed / min
2.68
61%
Strike defense
53%
1.21
TDs / 15 min
0.70
75%
Takedown defense
65%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
1.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.02evenly matched on net striking+1.42
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Lyoto MachidaLuke Rockhold
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Lyoto Machida(10 fights)Luke Rockhold(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-4.34.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-43.043.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.8-1.8
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
Lyoto Machida
StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights16
Luke Rockhold
StanceSouthpaw
Height75.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights11