Light Heavyweight
5 Rounds
🏆 Title Bout
Mauricio Rua won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, May 8, 2010·Montreal, Quebec, Canada, Canada
Style matchupLyoto Machida: Well-roundedvsMauricio Rua: Wrestler
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Mauricio Rua wins(54.4%)
Actual result: Mauricio Rua wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Mauricio Rua enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Lyoto Machida is a KO finisher (63% of wins). Mauricio Rua has lost 60% of fights by KO.
- Lyoto Machida has 26pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Lyoto Machida (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Lyoto Machida
Red Corner
VS
Mauricio Rua
Blue Corner
-190
(66%)
Vegas Odds
+175
(36%)
47
Age
44
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
6'1"
187.96 cm
Reach
193.04 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Lyoto MachidaW2 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Luke Rockhold · Apr 15L
KOvs Yoel Romero · Jun 15L
KOvs Derek Brunson · Oct 17W
vs Eryk Anders · Feb 18W
KOvs Vitor Belfort · May 18Mauricio RuaL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Tyson Pedro · Dec 18W
vs Rogerio Nogueira · Jul 20L
KOvs Paul Craig · Nov 20L
vs Ovince Saint Preux · May 22L
KOvs Ihor Potieria · Jan 23Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Lyoto MachidaMetricMauricio Rua
2.59
Strikes / min
3.57
1.57
Strikes absorbed / min
2.79
61%
Strike defense
54%
1.21
TDs / 15 min
2.01
75%
Takedown defense
49%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.02evenly matched on net striking+0.78
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Lyoto MachidaMauricio Rua
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Lyoto Machida(10 fights)Mauricio Rua(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Lyoto Machida
StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights16
Mauricio Rua
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights19