Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Lyoto Machida won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, April 30, 2011·Toronto, Ontario, Canada, Canada
Style matchupLyoto Machida: Well-roundedvsRandy Couture: Wrestler
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Randy Couture wins(53.2%)
Actual result: Lyoto Machida wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Lyoto Machida has 17pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Lyoto Machida (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Lyoto Machida
Red Corner
VS
Randy Couture
Blue Corner
-350
(78%)
Vegas Odds
+318
(24%)
47
Age
62
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
6'1"
187.96 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Lyoto MachidaW2 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Luke Rockhold · Apr 15L
KOvs Yoel Romero · Jun 15L
KOvs Derek Brunson · Oct 17W
vs Eryk Anders · Feb 18W
KOvs Vitor Belfort · May 18Randy Couture
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs James Toney · Aug 10Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Lyoto MachidaMetricRandy Couture
2.59
Strikes / min
2.85
1.57
Strikes absorbed / min
1.53
61%
Strike defense
59%
1.21
TDs / 15 min
2.78
75%
Takedown defense
58%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.02evenly matched on net striking+1.32
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Lyoto MachidaRandy Couture
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Lyoto Machida(10 fights)Randy Couture(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-45.545.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-84.084.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-2.02.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Lyoto Machida
StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights16
Randy Couture
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights2