Middleweight
5 Rounds
Yoel Romero won · KO/TKO R3
UFC Event·Saturday, June 27, 2015·Hollywood, Florida, USA, USA
Style matchupLyoto Machida: Well-roundedvsYoel Romero: Well-rounded
Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.
Model Prediction: Yoel Romero wins(54.0%)
Actual result: Yoel Romero wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Yoel Romero enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Tale of the Tape
Lyoto Machida
Red Corner
VS
Yoel Romero
Blue Corner
-165
(62%)
Vegas Odds
+145
(41%)
47
Age
49
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
6'1"
Height
6'0"
187.96 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Lyoto MachidaW2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs CB Dollaway · Dec 14L
SUBvs Luke Rockhold · Apr 15L
KOvs Derek Brunson · Oct 17W
vs Eryk Anders · Feb 18W
KOvs Vitor Belfort · May 18Yoel RomeroL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Robert Whittaker · Jul 17W
KOvs Luke Rockhold · Feb 18L
vs Robert Whittaker · Jun 18L
vs Paulo Costa · Aug 19L
vs Israel Adesanya · Mar 20Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Lyoto MachidaMetricYoel Romero
2.59
Strikes / min
3.44
1.57
Strikes absorbed / min
3.05
61%
Strike defense
60%
1.21
TDs / 15 min
1.57
75%
Takedown defense
78%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.02evenly matched on net striking+0.39
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Lyoto MachidaYoel Romero
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Lyoto Machida(10 fights)Yoel Romero(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-71.071.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-203.0203.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.11.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
Lyoto Machida
StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights16
Yoel Romero
StanceSouthpaw
Height72.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights13