Lightweight
3 Rounds
Mac Danzig won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, April 21, 2012·Atlanta, Georgia, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Mac Danzig wins(56.3%)
Actual result: Mac Danzig wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Mac Danzig enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Efrain Escudero has 20pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Mac Danzig
Red Corner
VS
Efrain Escudero
Blue Corner
-135
(57%)
Vegas Odds
+125
(44%)
46
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'9"
177.8 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Mac DanzigL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Joe Stevenson · Dec 10L
vs Matt Wiman · Oct 11L
vs Takanori Gomi · Nov 12L
KOvs Melvin Guillard · Jul 13L
vs Joe Lauzon · Dec 13Efrain EscuderoL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Leonardo Santos · Sep 14W
vs Rodrigo de Lima · Feb 15W
SUBvs Drew Dober · Jun 15L
vs Leandro Silva · Nov 15L
vs Kevin Lee · Apr 16Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Mac DanzigMetricEfrain Escudero
3.39
Strikes / min
2.92
3.44
Strikes absorbed / min
2.30
57%
Strike defense
63%
1.20
TDs / 15 min
1.31
46%
Takedown defense
66%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
0.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.05evenly matched on net striking+0.62
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Mac DanzigEfrain Escudero
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Mac Danzig(7 fights)Efrain Escudero(9 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-1.81.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+90.0-90.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Mac Danzig
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights7
Efrain Escudero
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights9