Lightweight
3 Rounds
Curt Warburton won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, February 26, 2011·Sydney, New South Wales, Australia, Australia
Model Prediction: Maciej Jewtuszko wins(57.7%)
Actual result: Curt Warburton wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Maciej Jewtuszko has 23pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Curt Warburton has 41pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Maciej Jewtuszko (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Maciej Jewtuszko
Red Corner
VS
Curt Warburton
Blue Corner
-155
(61%)
Vegas Odds
+135
(43%)
45
Age
30
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
6'0"
188 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 2 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Maciej JewtuszkoNo prior UFC fights on record.
Curt WarburtonL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Spencer Fisher · Oct 10L
SUBvs Joe Lauzon · Jun 11Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Maciej JewtuszkoMetricCurt Warburton
2.29
Strikes / min
2.13
1.39
Strikes absorbed / min
3.44
66%
Strike defense
43%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
2.35
42%
Takedown defense
83%
0.90
Sub atts / 15 min
0.90
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.90Δ 2.21 — meaningful gap-1.31
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Maciej JewtuszkoCurt Warburton
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Maciej Jewtuszko(1 fights)Curt Warburton(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+19.5-19.5
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+50.0-50.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+50.0-50.0
Maciej Jewtuszko
StanceSouthpaw
Height72.0"
Reach—
Fights1
Curt Warburton
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights3