Featherweight
3 Rounds
Daniel Pineda won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Friday, March 2, 2012·Sydney, New South Wales, Australia, Australia
Style matchupMackens Semerzier: WrestlervsDaniel Pineda: Submission grappler
Wrestler wants to control on top; grappler wants to threaten subs from bottom. Cage position is critical.
Model Prediction: Mackens Semerzier wins(62.1%)
Actual result: Daniel Pineda wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Daniel Pineda enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Tale of the Tape
Mackens Semerzier
Red Corner
VS
Daniel Pineda
Blue Corner
-145
(59%)
Vegas Odds
+135
(43%)
45
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'7"
182.88 cm
Reach
175.26 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Mackens Semerzier
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Alex Caceres · Mar 11Daniel PinedaL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Cub Swanson · Dec 20W
SUBvs Tucker Lutz · Mar 23L
vs Alex Caceres · Jun 23L
vs Nathaniel Wood · Jul 24L
vs Darren Elkins · Oct 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Mackens SemerzierMetricDaniel Pineda
2.91
Strikes / min
2.85
3.48
Strikes absorbed / min
3.26
46%
Strike defense
45%
2.14
TDs / 15 min
1.42
50%
Takedown defense
54%
2.10
Sub atts / 15 min
1.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.57evenly matched on net striking-0.41
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Mackens SemerzierDaniel Pineda
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Mackens Semerzier(2 fights)Daniel Pineda(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
0.00.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+300.0-300.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Mackens Semerzier
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights2
Daniel Pineda
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights13