Women's Strawweight
5 Rounds
Mackenzie Dern won · U-DEC R5
UFC Event·Saturday, May 20, 2023·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupMackenzie Dern: Submission grapplervsAngela Hill: Pressure fighter
The pressure fighter risks getting subbed if they over-commit on the ground.
Model Prediction: Mackenzie Dern wins(57.3%)
Actual result: Mackenzie Dern wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Mackenzie Dern enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Angela Hill has 35pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Mackenzie Dern
Red Corner
VS
Angela Hill
Blue Corner
-162
(62%)
Vegas Odds
+136
(42%)
33
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'4"
Height
5'3"
160.02 cm
Reach
162.56 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Mackenzie DernW3 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Jessica Andrade · Nov 23L
vs Amanda Lemos · Feb 24W
vs Loopy Godinez · Aug 24W
SUBvs Amanda Ribas · Jan 25W
vs Virna Jandiroba · Oct 25Angela HillL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Luana Pinheiro · May 24L
vs Tabatha Ricci · Aug 24W
vs Ketlen Souza · Feb 25L
vs Iasmin Lucindo · Aug 25L
vs Fatima Kline · Nov 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Mackenzie DernMetricAngela Hill
3.47
Strikes / min
5.37
3.93
Strikes absorbed / min
5.02
51%
Strike defense
60%
0.93
TDs / 15 min
0.75
37%
Takedown defense
72%
1.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.46evenly matched on net striking+0.35
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Mackenzie DernAngela Hill
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Mackenzie Dern(10 fights)Angela Hill(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+59.6-59.6
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+63.0-63.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-1.51.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Mackenzie Dern
StanceOrthodox
Height64.0"
Reach63.0"
Fights16
Angela Hill
StanceOrthodox
Height63.0"
Reach64.0"
Fights29