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Strawweight
3 Rounds
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Elo1521
Mackenzie Dern editorial illustration
Elo1545
Gillian Robertson editorial illustration

Mackenzie DernvsGillian RobertsonUFC Prediction

UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry · Saturday, August 15, 2026Philadelphia, USA

Fight begins in
Style matchupMackenzie Dern: Submission grapplervsGillian Robertson: Wrestler

Wrestler wants to control on top; grappler wants to threaten subs from bottom. Cage position is critical.

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Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Mackenzie Dern enters on a 3-fight win streak.
  • Gillian Robertson enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Tale of the Tape

Mackenzie Dern
Red Corner
VS
Gillian Robertson
Blue Corner
-227
(69%)
Vegas Odds
+182
(35%)
1521
Elo
1545
33
Age
31
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'4"
Height
5'5"
160.02 cm
Reach
160.02 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Mackenzie DernW3 streak
oldest →
L
KOvs Jessica Andrade · Nov 23
L
vs Amanda Lemos · Feb 24
W
vs Loopy Godinez · Aug 24
W
SUBvs Amanda Ribas · Jan 25
W
vs Virna Jandiroba · Oct 25
latest
Gillian RobertsonW5 streak
oldest →
W
KOvs Polyana Viana · Jan 24
W
vs Michelle Waterson-Gomez · Jun 24
W
vs Luana Pinheiro · Nov 24
W
KOvs Marina Rodriguez · May 25
W
vs Amanda Lemos · Mar 26
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Mackenzie DernMetricGillian Robertson
3.47
Strikes / min
2.71
3.93
Strikes absorbed / min
2.86
51%
Strike defense
56%
0.93
TDs / 15 min
2.76
37%
Takedown defense
38%
1.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.90
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.46evenly matched on net striking-0.15
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801500152015401560← oldermost recent →
Mackenzie Dern(10 fights)Gillian Robertson(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -23.6|Blue +23.6
Recent Form
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Striker Score
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Grappler Score
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Layoff
Red +140.0|Blue -140.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Method Projection

Matchup projection based on both fighters' finish patterns and vulnerabilities. These three projected methods total 100%. Most likely: Submission.

KO / TKO34%

Historical win share: Gillian Robertson earned 21% of wins by KO/TKO.

Submission66%

Historical win share: Gillian Robertson earned 50% of wins by submission.

Decision0%

Both fighters frequently end fights early.

Mackenzie Dern

StanceOrthodox
Height64.0"
Reach63.0"
Fights16

Gillian Robertson

StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach63.0"
Fights20