Women's Strawweight
3 Rounds
Mackenzie Dern won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, August 3, 2024·Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates, United Arab Emirates
Style matchupMackenzie Dern: Submission grapplervsLoopy Godinez: Wrestler
Wrestler wants to control on top; grappler wants to threaten subs from bottom. Cage position is critical.
Model Prediction: Mackenzie Dern wins(56.3%)
Actual result: Mackenzie Dern wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Loopy Godinez has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Loopy Godinez has 39pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Mackenzie Dern
Red Corner
VS
Loopy Godinez
Blue Corner
-140
(58%)
Vegas Odds
+110
(48%)
33
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'4"
Height
5'2"
160.02 cm
Reach
154.94 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Mackenzie DernW2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Angela Hill · May 23L
KOvs Jessica Andrade · Nov 23L
vs Amanda Lemos · Feb 24W
SUBvs Amanda Ribas · Jan 25W
vs Virna Jandiroba · Oct 25Loopy GodinezW2 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Elise Reed · Sep 23W
vs Tabatha Ricci · Nov 23L
vs Virna Jandiroba · Mar 24W
vs Julia Polastri · Mar 25W
vs Jessica Andrade · Aug 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Mackenzie DernMetricLoopy Godinez
3.47
Strikes / min
4.43
3.93
Strikes absorbed / min
3.94
51%
Strike defense
62%
0.93
TDs / 15 min
2.99
37%
Takedown defense
76%
1.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.46evenly matched on net striking+0.49
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Mackenzie DernLoopy Godinez
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Mackenzie Dern(10 fights)Loopy Godinez(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-10.210.2
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+42.0-42.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.80.8
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
Mackenzie Dern
StanceOrthodox
Height64.0"
Reach63.0"
Fights16
Loopy Godinez
StanceOrthodox
Height62.0"
Reach61.0"
Fights14