Women's Strawweight
3 Rounds
Mackenzie Dern won · SUB
UFC Event·Saturday, September 19, 2020·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Mackenzie Dern wins(58.0%)
Actual result: Mackenzie Dern wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Mackenzie Dern enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Randa Markos has 15pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Mackenzie Dern
Red Corner
VS
Randa Markos
Blue Corner
-177
(64%)
Vegas Odds
+140
(42%)
33
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'4"
Height
5'4"
160.02 cm
Reach
160.02 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Mackenzie DernW3 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Jessica Andrade · Nov 23L
vs Amanda Lemos · Feb 24W
vs Loopy Godinez · Aug 24W
SUBvs Amanda Ribas · Jan 25W
vs Virna Jandiroba · Oct 25Randa Markos
oldest →latest
W
vs Ashley Yoder · Oct 19L
vs Amanda Ribas · Mar 20L
vs Kanako Murata · Nov 20L
vs Luana Pinheiro · May 21W
vs Livinha Souza · Oct 21Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Mackenzie DernMetricRanda Markos
3.47
Strikes / min
2.97
3.93
Strikes absorbed / min
3.10
51%
Strike defense
58%
0.93
TDs / 15 min
1.12
37%
Takedown defense
52%
1.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.46evenly matched on net striking-0.13
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Mackenzie DernRanda Markos
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Mackenzie Dern(10 fights)Randa Markos(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+41.1-41.1
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-77.077.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.60.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Mackenzie Dern
StanceOrthodox
Height64.0"
Reach63.0"
Fights16
Randa Markos
StanceOrthodox
Height64.0"
Reach63.0"
Fights17