Women's Strawweight
3 Rounds
Mackenzie Dern won · U-DEC
UFC Event·Saturday, December 12, 2020·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupMackenzie Dern: Submission grapplervsVirna Jandiroba: Wrestler
Wrestler wants to control on top; grappler wants to threaten subs from bottom. Cage position is critical.
Model Prediction: Mackenzie Dern wins(57.9%)
Actual result: Mackenzie Dern wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Mackenzie Dern enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Virna Jandiroba has 35pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Mackenzie Dern
Red Corner
VS
Virna Jandiroba
Blue Corner
-160
(62%)
Vegas Odds
+140
(42%)
33
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'4"
Height
5'3"
160.02 cm
Reach
162.56 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Mackenzie DernW3 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Jessica Andrade · Nov 23L
vs Amanda Lemos · Feb 24W
vs Loopy Godinez · Aug 24W
SUBvs Amanda Ribas · Jan 25W
vs Virna Jandiroba · Oct 25Virna Jandiroba
oldest →latest
W
vs Marina Rodriguez · May 23W
vs Loopy Godinez · Mar 24W
SUBvs Amanda Lemos · Jul 24W
vs Yan Xiaonan · Apr 25L
vs Mackenzie Dern · Oct 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Mackenzie DernMetricVirna Jandiroba
3.47
Strikes / min
2.27
3.93
Strikes absorbed / min
2.86
51%
Strike defense
55%
0.93
TDs / 15 min
3.13
37%
Takedown defense
72%
1.10
Sub atts / 15 min
1.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.46evenly matched on net striking-0.59
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Mackenzie DernVirna Jandiroba
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Mackenzie Dern(10 fights)Virna Jandiroba(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+55.7-55.7
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-35.035.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.9-0.9
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
Mackenzie Dern
StanceOrthodox
Height64.0"
Reach63.0"
Fights16
Virna Jandiroba
StanceOrthodox
Height63.0"
Reach64.0"
Fights13