Featherweight
3 Rounds
Mads Burnell won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Sunday, January 14, 2018·St. Louis, Missouri, USA, USA
Style matchupMads Burnell: WrestlervsMike Santiago: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Mads Burnell wins(57.0%)
Actual result: Mads Burnell wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Mads Burnell has 15pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Mike Santiago has 31pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Mads Burnell
Red Corner
VS
Mike Santiago
Blue Corner
+165
(38%)
Vegas Odds
-190
(66%)
32
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'10"
175.26 cm
Reach
175.26 cm
Recent Form
Last 2 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Mads BurnellL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Michel Prazeres · Sep 17L
SUBvs Arnold Allen · May 18Mike SantiagoL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Zabit Magomedsharipov · Sep 17L
KOvs Dan Ige · Jun 18Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Mads BurnellMetricMike Santiago
1.28
Strikes / min
3.44
2.71
Strikes absorbed / min
3.58
51%
Strike defense
36%
3.45
TDs / 15 min
2.66
22%
Takedown defense
53%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
1.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.43Δ 1.29 — meaningful gap-0.14
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Mads BurnellMike Santiago
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Mads Burnell(3 fights)Mike Santiago(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+1.1-1.1
RedLayoff (days)Blue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Mads Burnell
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights3
Mike Santiago
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights3