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Middleweight

3 Rounds

Jack Marshman won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1491

Elo1391

Magnus CedenbladvsJack MarshmanUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Mousasi vs. Hall 2 · Saturday, November 19, 2016Belfast, Northern Ireland, United Kingdom

Official fight result

Jack Marshman won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 3:40

Model Prediction: Magnus Cedenblad wins(81.7%)

Actual result: Jack Marshman wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Magnus Cedenblad at -250 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Magnus Cedenblad enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Magnus Cedenblad threatens submissions; Jack Marshman has lost 40% of fights by sub.
Jack Marshman has 16pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Magnus Cedenblad has 46pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Magnus Cedenblad has a 15cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Magnus Cedenblad

Red Corner

Jack Marshman

Blue Corner

-250

(71%)

Vegas Odds

+210

(32%)

1491

Elo

1391

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'5"

Height

6'0"

200.66 cm

Reach

185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Magnus CedenbladW4 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Francis Carmont · Apr 12

SUBvs Jared Hamman · Aug 13

SUBvs Krzysztof Jotko · May 14

vs Scott Askham · Oct 14

KOvs Garreth McLellan · May 16

latest

Jack MarshmanL2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Antonio Carlos Junior · Oct 17

vs Karl Roberson · Nov 18

vs John Phillips · Mar 19

SUBvs Edmen Shahbazyan · Jul 19

vs Sean Strickland · Oct 20

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Magnus CedenbladMetricJack Marshman

2.38

Strikes / min

2.74

3.02

Strikes absorbed / min

4.19

40%

Strike defense

56%

2.87

TDs / 15 min

0.00

66%

Takedown defense

20%

1.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.64evenly matched on net striking-1.45

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Magnus CedenbladJack Marshman

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Magnus Cedenblad(6 fights)Jack Marshman(8 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +99.3|Blue -99.3

Recent Form

Red +1.0|Blue -1.0

Striker Score

Red -49.3|Blue +49.3

Grappler Score

Red -49.7|Blue +49.7

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Magnus CedenbladTargetJack Marshman

By target zone

37% acc · 69%

Head

44% acc · 79%

67% acc · 17%

Body

64% acc · 17%

83% acc · 14%

Leg

40% acc · 5%

By position

38% acc · 69%

Distance

43% acc · 76%

Clinch

61% acc · 31%

Ground

59% acc · 24%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Magnus Cedenblad rounds

even

Jack Marshman rounds

Round 1Magnus Cedenblad edged it

Sig. strikes13

Takedowns2

Control4:17

Knockdowns0

10Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:01Control

1Knockdowns

Round 2Jack Marshman edged it

Sig. strikes23

Takedowns1

Control0:12

Knockdowns0

32Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:12Control

1Knockdowns

Fight Stats

Totals

36 / 83

Sig Strikes

42 / 91

44.5%

Sig Str %

50.5%

78 / 136

Total Strikes

50 / 107

3 / 3

TDs

0 / 0

100%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

4:29

Ctrl Time

0:13

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Jack Marshman	10 / 17	18 / 33	0 / 0
1	Magnus Cedenblad	13 / 27	54 / 79	2 / 2
2	Jack Marshman	32 / 74	32 / 74	0 / 0
2	Magnus Cedenblad	23 / 56	24 / 57	1 / 1

Magnus Cedenblad

StanceOrthodox

Height77.0"

Reach79.0"

Fights6

Jack Marshman

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights8