Middleweight
3 Rounds
Magnus Cedenblad won · SUB R2
UFC Event·Saturday, May 31, 2014·Berlin, Germany, Germany
Style matchupMagnus Cedenblad: WrestlervsKrzysztof Jotko: Well-rounded
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Magnus Cedenblad wins(57.4%)
Actual result: Magnus Cedenblad wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Magnus Cedenblad threatens submissions; Krzysztof Jotko has lost 33% of fights by sub.
- Krzysztof Jotko has 17pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Krzysztof Jotko has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Krzysztof Jotko (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Magnus Cedenblad
Red Corner
VS
Krzysztof Jotko
Blue Corner
-105
(51%)
Vegas Odds
-105
(51%)
44
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'5"
Height
6'1"
200.66 cm
Reach
195.58 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Magnus Cedenblad
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Francis Carmont · Apr 12W
SUBvs Jared Hamman · Aug 13W
vs Scott Askham · Oct 14W
KOvs Garreth McLellan · May 16L
KOvs Jack Marshman · Nov 16Krzysztof Jotko
oldest →latest
W
vs Eryk Anders · May 20L
vs Sean Strickland · May 21W
vs Misha Cirkunov · Oct 21W
vs Gerald Meerschaert · Apr 22L
SUBvs Brendan Allen · Oct 22Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Magnus CedenbladMetricKrzysztof Jotko
2.38
Strikes / min
2.98
3.02
Strikes absorbed / min
2.23
40%
Strike defense
57%
2.87
TDs / 15 min
1.33
66%
Takedown defense
82%
1.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.64Δ 1.39 — meaningful gap+0.75
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Magnus CedenbladKrzysztof Jotko
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Magnus Cedenblad(6 fights)Krzysztof Jotko(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-17.617.6
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+97.0-97.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Magnus Cedenblad
StanceOrthodox
Height77.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights6
Krzysztof Jotko
StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights16